Sunday, September 9, 2012

Forex Secrets - Support and Resistance Levels in Forex Market


Support and resistance are the known cornerstones in Forex technical, wherein:

1. a current Forex rate (CFR) is surrounded by levels of:

a). resistance being superior to CFR;

b). support being inferior to CFR.

2. a level breakthrough triggers a leap to a consecutive support/resistance;

3. a false breakthrough is responsible for a rate backstroke (say, from resistance to support).

Thus, having data on resistance and support levels and being armed with R/S true/false criteria, a trader grows faultless-entry skilled to ensure smooth level-to-level trading.

To be found below is a graphic drawing of a flat followed by an R/S up/down breakthrough.

The chart 1. (For view picture see notes in end of article)

In actual sample GBPUSD trade dated January, 31, 2006 the support breakthrough has triggered a bullish in-session trend.

Simple, isn't it? Affirmative at a glance, but 95% of traders losing their forex deposits are calling for natural questions:

1. What's the reason, the world traders are getting entangled in so a seemingly simple regularity?

2. What's the way of correct detection of R/S levels for currencies to use to jet off from?

3. What attributes are inherent to true/false breach differentiation?

It is, thus, to be concluded that a trader will never achieve steady FX gains unless the answer is found to the above three simple questions.

CLASSICAL BOOKS ON RESISTANCE AND SUPPORT LEVELS

Forex scholars' books, when analyzed, are giving grounds why 95% of traders turn deposit-killers. The point is that under different technical scholars:

a). fairly different understanding is being attached to support and resistance;

b). no distinct criteria (except Demark's technique) is in service to finding a support and a resistance;

c). there is no clear-cut interfacing between R/S levels on different timeframes.

Below is sort of understanding classification:

1. A. Elder. R/S are understood by SOME SCHOLARS to be horizontal lines drawn along price highs and lows

support and resistance are horizontal (or almost horizontal) lines linking several minimums (maximums).

The chart 2. Support and resistance (For view picture see notes in end of article)

b). J. MURPHY also indicates that "points 2 and 4 represent uptrend support levels. The figure depicts uprising support and resistance under an uptrend with points 2 and 4 being support levels which use to be coincident with earlier lows. Points 1 and 3 indicate resistance levels, which use to be coincident with earlier highs" (see: "Technical analysis of the Futures Markets"

Fig. 3a and 3b. Uptrend and downtrend support-resistance levels (For view picture see notes in end of article)

2. SOME SCHOLARS believe support-resistance to be sloped lines drawn along price highs and lows (trend lines, actually) as below:

Fig. 4. Trend line-fashion support-resistance pattern (For view picture see notes in end of article)

a). T. DEMARK

Fig. 5. Bid pivot points (TD-points) building up a resistance level (For view picture see notes in end of article)




0 comments:

Post a Comment